BubbleGrid for Tuesday, March 9
An extra bonus today: my unbelievably insightful and witty commentary on some of the most vulnerable teams on the bubble. (BubbleGrid primer here)
- Rhode Island - Even with wins over St. Joseph's and St. Louis, Rhode Island may have to appeal to a higher power to dance in March. St. Joe's (#184) and St. Louis (#83) don't have the RPI cachet to boost the Rams' stock much. Even with a semifinal loss to RPI #14 Temple, they still could be jumped if a team below them (Dayton, for example) gets a bigger win. A win over Temple might not get them in for sure, but could keep them from being jumped.
- San Diego State - Same situation as Rhode Island; without a semi-final win over RPI #7 New Mexico, they're playing with fire.
- Memphis and UAB - A Memphis-UAB semi-final would keep one of the two alive. Even losing in the final (best case to #42 UTEP) might not be enough, depending on to whom and by how much.
- Washington and Arizona State See Memphis/UAB. The ASU-Washington semi would essentially be, as Jerry Palm says, a play-out game; winning it guarantees nothing.
- Georgia Tech - A loss to UNC could be the nail in the coffin, both for the Jackets' NCAA hopes and for Paul Hewitt's tenure in Atlanta.
- Florida - Their first two potential SEC tournament wins (#137 Auburn and #68 MSU) might not be enough to guarantee a berth. Even beating Vandy in the semis might not be enough.
- Mississippi - On the other hand, an Ole Miss win over Tennessee in the SEC quarters would be big, and an additional win over Kentucky in the semis might be enough.
- Bye, UConn. Thanks for playing. Or perhaps not playing today.
| 1-25 | 1-50 | 1-100 | 1-200 | Road | Good road wins | Bad home losses | ||||
| Team | W-L | W | W | +/- | W | +/- | +/- | +/- | ||
| Louisville | 20-11 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 9 | -1 | 6 | 4-7 | #4 Syracuse #56 Connecticut | #117 W. Carolina |
| California | 21-9 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 6-6 | #54 Arizona St. | #151 UCLA |
| St. Mary's * | 25-5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 9-2 | #32 Utah St. | |
| Nevada Las Vegas | 22-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9-3 | #7 New Mexico #84 Arizona | #147 Utah |
| Marquette | 19-10 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 5-5 | #55 Seton Hall #56 Connecticut #67 Cincinnati #75 St. John's | #103 N.C. St. |
| Virginia Tech | 23-7 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 6-5 | #44 Georgia Tech | |
| Notre Dame | 21-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-6 | #14 Georgetown #60 Marquette #61 South Florida | #183 Loyola Marymount |
| Old Dominion * | 26-8 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 9-6 | #14 Georgetown #58 William & Mary | |
| Washington | 20-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 4-6 | #112 Southern Cal #149 Oregon | |
| Florida | 20-11 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 5-5 | #57 Mississippi #98 Alabama | #211 South Alabama |
| Georgia Tech | 18-11 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | -2 | 2 | 3-8 | #63 Charlotte #82 North Carolina | |
| Memphis | 23-8 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 7-4 | #40 UAB #62 Marshall #70 Tulsa | |
| San Diego St. | 20-8 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 | -2 | 7 | 8-7 | #100 UC Santa Barbara | |
| Rhode Island | 21-8 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 8-6 | #50 Dayton #94 Akron | |
| Wichita St. | 24-9 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5-7 | #92 Indiana St. #93 Missouri St. | |
| UAB | 23-7 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 5 | -1 | 8 | 9-4 | #62 Marshall | |
| Mississippi | 21-9 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 6-4 | #97 Georgia #98 Alabama | #143 Arkansas |
| Dayton | 19-11 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 6 | -4 | 4 | 4-7 | ||
| Siena * | 27-6 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 9-5 | #80 Fairfield #87 Iona | |
| Connecticut | 17-14 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | -4 | 0 | 2-8 | #10 Villanova | |
| Cornell * | 24-4 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | -1 | 9 | 12-3 | #75 St. John's #98 Alabama | |
| Arizona St. | 22-9 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 4 | -3 | 7 | 5-5 | #84 Arizona | |
| Seton Hall | 18-11 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 6 | -5 | 0 | 5-6 | #51 Cornell #75 St. John's | |
| Kent St. | 22-8 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9-5 | #88 Morehead St. #94 Akron | #110 Wisconsin Green Bay #187 Bowling Green |
| South Florida | 19-11 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 6 | -4 | 2 | 4-7 | #14 Georgetown | #192 Central Michigan |
| Mississippi St. | 21-10 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5-6 | #57 Mississippi #90 South Carolina | #139 Rider |
| Virginia Commonwealth | 22-9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6-7 | ||
| Illinois | 17-13 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 5 | -5 | -1 | 6-4 | #17 Wisconsin #27 Clemson | |