Lunch-time notes
A BubbleGrid update and a few notes for your Sunday lunch. Less than five hours to go.(See this to learn what it's all about.)
- Chris Wright has reportedly been cleared to play for Georgetown in the NCAA tournament, so I'll probably leave their seed alone.
- Ohio State and Kansas are locks for #1 seeds and probably the top two overall in that order. Pitt should probably be the third, but Duke (pending today's outcome) and San Diego State are also in play for #1 seeds. I don't think North Carolina deserves a #1 seed if they win today, but I can see the committee doing that. They have a history of overseeding (in my opinion) teams that win their conference tournaments.
- SI.com's Andy Glockner gives Georgia the nod over Alabama, noting "there's no precedent for the committee to reward a team with an RPI like this that plays a terrible nonleague schedule this poorly." Kentucky in 2008 was similar, though their poor non-conference RPI (210) was caused more by their record (6-7) than the strength of schedule (99). Kentucky's conference performance (12-5, RPI 8) that year swayed the committee, and Alabama hopes for a similar result this year. Unfortunately, the Tide's numbers (236 non-conf RPI, 25 conf RPI) don't quite match what Kentucky did in 2008, so I agree with Glockner on this one.
BubbleGrid
- Hover over a value for more information
- Shaded teams are predicted to be in the field
- Teams with a * are the projected automatic qualifier (AQ) for their conference. Bold shaded teams have clinched the AQ berth
- Teams are listed in order of their selection confidence by the CTD model. In other words, the last shaded non-AQ team is the last team in, and the first non-shaded team is the first team out.
| 1-25 | 1-50 | 1-100 | 1-200 | Road | Good road wins | Bad home losses | ||||
| Team | W-L | W | W | +/- | W | +/- | +/- | +/- | ||
| Missouri | 22-10 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 7 | -3 | 6 | 2-7 | ||
| Marquette | 20-14 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 7 | -6 | -1 | 4-7 | #14 Connecticut #94 Wisc-Milw | |
| Penn St. | 19-13 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 10 | -2 | 5 | 3-8 | #84 Minnesota #87 Northwestern | #214 Maine |
| Richmond * | 26-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 10 | 10-3 | #67 Dayton | |
| UCLA | 22-10 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 7 | -1 | 4 | 5-5 | #82 Washington St. | #107 Montana |
| Butler * | 22-9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 7-6 | #41 Cleveland St. #94 Wisc-Milw | #135 Evansville |
| Michigan St. | 18-14 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 10 | -3 | 1 | 3-8 | #53 Oakland #84 Minnesota #87 Northwestern | |
| UAB | 22-8 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 9-5 | #55 Marshall #63 S. Miss. #68 Central Florida #95 East Carolina | |
| Michigan | 19-13 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 10 | -2 | 1 | 5-5 | #39 Penn St. #45 Michigan St. #56 Clemson #84 Minnesota | |
| Colorado | 20-13 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 8 | -2 | -1 | 3-9 | #23 Kansas St. | |
| Gonzaga * | 23-9 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 6 | -1 | 3 | 6-4 | #46 St. Mary's | |
| Virginia Tech | 21-11 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | #98 Maryland | #141 Virginia |
| Florida St. | 21-10 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 8-5 | #73 Miami FL | |
| Clemson | 21-11 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | #72 Charleston #73 Miami FL | |
| St. Mary's | 23-8 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | 6-4 | #57 Gonzaga | |
| Boston College | 20-12 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 4-6 | #60 Virginia Tech #98 Maryland | #156 Yale |
| Georgia | 21-11 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 5 | -6 | 1 | 7-4 | #33 Tennessee #83 Mississippi | |
| Harvard | 21-6 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 | -2 | 4 | 9-5 | #58 Boston College | |
| Princeton * | 24-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 10-5 | #81 Tulsa | |
| Alabama | 21-11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -1 | 4-6 | #33 Tennessee | |
| Belmont * | 30-4 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 13-4 | #91 E. Tenn. St. | |
| Cleveland St. | 24-8 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 4 | -3 | 9 | 9-5 | #94 Wisc-Milw | |
| New Mexico | 20-12 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 | -3 | 1 | 6-7 | #5 Brigham Young | #118 Utah |
| Virginia Commonwealth | 23-11 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 8-6 | #20 Old Dominion #61 Wichita St. #88 James Madison | |
| Texas El Paso | 24-9 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 | -1 | 5 | 5-5 | #190 Pacific | |
| S. Miss. | 19-10 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 8 | -1 | 3 | 5-6 | #31 UAB #76 California #95 East Carolina | |
| Oklahoma St. | 19-13 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | 2-9 | ||
| Marshall | 20-11 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 | -3 | 0 | 6-8 | #95 East Carolina | #199 Chattanooga |
| Nebraska | 19-12 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | -2 | -2 | 1-7 | ||
| Washington St. | 19-12 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 6 | -3 | 1 | 5-6 | #32 Washington | #160 Stanford |
| Missouri St. | 25-8 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | -3 | 6 | 7-6 | #61 Wichita St. | #112 Northern Iowa |
| Oakland | 24-9 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 1 | -6 | 3 | 10-7 | #33 Tennessee | |