BubbleGrid for March 6
5 days to Selection Sunday. Several of the better mid-major teams failed to win their conference tournaments, leaving therir fate in the hands of the committee. Drexel, Iona, MTSU, and Oral Roberts must wait, and each has a marginal at-large profile at best by historical standards. We'll see how much the "eye test" comes into play. (See the BubbleGrid refresher if you have questions.)
- Hover over a value for more information
- Shaded teams are predicted to be in the field
- Teams with a * are the projected automatic qualifier (AQ) for their conference. Bold shaded teams have clinched the AQ berth
- Teams are listed in order of their selection confidence by the CTD model. In other words, the last shaded non-AQ team is the last team in, and the first non-shaded team is the first team out.
| 1-25 | 1-50 | 1-100 | 1-200 | Road | Good road wins | Bad home losses | ||||
| Team | W-L | W | W | +/- | W | +/- | +/- | +/- | ||
| Harvard * | 25-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12-3 | #94 Pennsylvania | |
| Iowa St. | 22-9 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 5 | -2 | 6 | 4-7 | #42 Kansas St. | |
| Connecticut | 18-12 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 9 | -1 | 4 | 3-7 | #38 Notre Dame #45 South Florida | |
| Purdue | 20-11 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5-5 | #11 Michigan #48 Northwestern #80 Illinois #89 Minnesota | |
| Virginia | 22-8 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 7-4 | #50 Oregon #56 North Carolina St. #87 Louisiana St. | #119 Virginia Tech |
| West Virginia | 19-12 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 9 | -1 | 5 | 4-6 | #45 South Florida #98 Pittsburgh | #106 Kent St. |
| California | 23-8 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 5-6 | #50 Oregon #53 Washington | |
| Colorado St. | 18-10 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 8 | -1 | 4 | 3-9 | ||
| Cincinnati | 22-9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7-5 | #10 Georgetown #34 Connecticut #98 Pittsburgh | #150 St. John's #245 Presbyterian |
| Virginia Commonwealth * | 28-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10-3 | #64 Akron | #145 Georgia St. |
| Brigham Young | 23-8 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 5 | -1 | 5 | 9-3 | #118 Loyola Marymount | |
| Seton Hall | 19-11 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 | -1 | 4 | 4-7 | #72 Dayton | #153 Rutgers |
| Texas | 19-12 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 | -6 | 1 | 4-7 | ||
| Mississippi St. | 21-10 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3-6 | #27 Vanderbilt | #111 Georgia |
| Dayton | 19-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3-7 | #13 Temple | #104 Duquesne #255 Rhode Island |
| Iona | 25-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11-4 | #91 Denver | #152 Manhattan |
| Saint Joseph's | 19-12 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 6 | -3 | 3 | 5-8 | #122 Richmond #165 Charlotte | |
| Miami FL | 18-11 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 3 | -7 | 1 | 4-8 | #4 Duke | |
| Northwestern | 18-12 | 1 | 1 | -9 | 5 | -7 | 2 | 4-7 | #80 Illinois | |
| Xavier | 19-11 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 5-7 | #27 Vanderbilt | |
| Drexel | 27-6 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11-4 | #84 Cleveland St. | |
| Middle Tennessee | 24-6 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10-4 | ||
| South Florida | 18-12 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 6 | -3 | 2 | 5-8 | #28 Louisville #98 Pittsburgh | |
| Long Beach St. * | 20-8 | 0 | 0 | -6 | 2 | -5 | 0 | 8-7 | #98 Pittsburgh | |
| Oregon | 22-8 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 5 | -2 | 4 | 7-4 | #78 Arizona #95 Stanford | #148 Oregon St. |
| Washington * | 21-9 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 4 | -4 | 2 | 6-5 | #78 Arizona | |
| Tennessee | 17-13 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 7 | -2 | 0 | 3-8 | #29 Florida #87 Louisiana St. | #196 Austin Peay |
| Belmont * | 26-7 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | 10-6 | #59 Middle Tennessee | #225 Lipscomb |
| Mississippi | 18-12 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 4-8 | #99 Arkansas | |
| North Carolina St. | 20-11 | 0 | 0 | -8 | 5 | -4 | 2 | 5-4 | #55 Miami FL | #190 Georgia Tech |
| South Dakota St. * | 24-7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8-7 | #53 Washington | |
| Oral Roberts | 27-6 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10-4 | #57 Xavier | |
| Nevada * | 23-5 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9-2 | #68 New Mexico St. #81 Montana | #125 Missouri St. #135 Idaho |
| Central Florida | 19-9 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 3 | -3 | 2 | 3-7 | ||
| Arizona | 21-10 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 5 | -3 | 4 | 7-5 | #37 California #68 New Mexico St. #95 Stanford | |