The CTD selection model currently has Temple as the first team out of the field, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see them in the field. I’m not sure what it is in their profile aside from the win over Kansas that has some with the Owls firmly in the field. They have a decent profile, but one game shouldn’t overwhelm the other 32.
Each of the next five candidates on the CTD seeding list behind Kentucky has a case at a #1 seed, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see any combination of those five fill out the final three spots. However, while Arizona is considered by some to be one of the best two or three teams right now, the committee generally rewards the entire season’s profile rather than recent acheivements. All things being equal, Arizona’s recent surge might be enough, but I can’t get over those three losses to teams below 100 on the RPI list. No team with more than one such loss received a #1 seed in the 15 years of historical CTD data.