BubbleGrid for March 14

See this to learn what the BubbleGrid all about.

The CTD selection model is telling us right now that all of the teams it currently forecasts in the field have at-large worthy profiles (their selection "score" is close to 100) by historical standards. The next team out (Tennessee) also has a score close to 100, but there is a steep drop after that down to Mississppi (2.9).

The best way to interpret that you could swap Tennessee for just about any team above them on this list and not get any complaints from me. After the last few days, you might be tempted to swap out Boise State or St. Mary's, but I'd caution you not to overreact to 1 game out of 30 in a team's profile.

The committee doesn't overreact:

[Bracketologists] react literally on a day‑to‑day or sometimes half‑to‑half or game‑by‑game basis to what they see. That's who they are, what they get paid to do. It helps to drive and build interest, makes for great conversation the next day around the water cooler. But we have a different circumstance here. We try to allow all the dust to settle and have all the facts and detail in front of us, evaluate it in totality, not have those emotion‑based ups and downs during the course of the year. We find what they do great. I think it's good for the game. But it's a little different than how we go about it.

Wait - people get paid to do this?

• Hover over a value for more information
• Shaded teams are predicted to be in the field
• Teams with a * are the projected automatic qualifier (AQ) for their conference. Bold shaded teams have clinched the AQ berth
• Teams are listed in order of their selection confidence by the CTD model. In other words, the last shaded non-AQ team is the last team in, and the first non-shaded team is the first team out.

Data is through games of Wednesday, March 13.